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EDTurn crisis into opportunity

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The sun rises behind the National Assembly in Yeouido, Seoul, Dec. 27, 2024, as cars pass on highways in the foreground. Korea Times photo by Shim Hyun-chul

The sun rises behind the National Assembly in Yeouido, Seoul, Dec. 27, 2024, as cars pass on highways in the foreground. Korea Times photo by Shim Hyun-chul

South Korea's path forward in 2025 amid challenges
By Shim Jae-yun

The most immediate crisis confronting South Korea is the erosion of its democratic foundations. President Yoon Suk Yeol's controversial declaration of martial law on Dec. 3, 2024 sent shockwaves throughout the nation. For a country that has prided itself on its democratic transformation since the 1980s, this sudden and drastic action threatened to unravel the very principles of democracy that South Korea has painstakingly built.

Martial law, often associated with authoritarian regimes, is a stark deviation from the norms of the democratic Republic of Korea, and it was made even more alarming by allegations that Yoon's declaration was driven by personal interests rather than the national welfare.

In a democratic society, the role of the military should be to defend the country, not to undermine the rule of law or suppress political opposition.

Yet reports surfaced suggesting that Yoon ordered the military to arrest lawmakers in the National Assembly, even threatening to use force to do so. This is not merely a matter of a political disagreement — it is a direct violation of the Constitution, which guarantees the uninterrupted functioning of the legislature.

Such actions are not only illegal but also undermine the very legitimacy of the government. South Korea's citizens, having fought for democracy in the past, will not tolerate any deviation from these hard-won freedoms.

What followed was even more troubling. Calls for impeachment against Yoon and acting President Han Duck-soo have risen, with many arguing that such political turmoil only deepens the crisis. The failure to swiftly resolve this conflict could further erode public trust and plunge the nation into greater instability.

While the political crisis is urgent, South Korea is also grappling with serious economic challenges. The country's semiconductor industry, which is vital for its economic survival, is under threat. Despite being a global leader in semiconductor production, South Korea faces increasing competition from China and Taiwan, both of which have ramped up their investments in this critical sector. Yet crucial legislation aimed at revitalizing the semiconductor industry has been delayed in the National Assembly due to political gridlock.

The political instability only exacerbates these economic risks. When the political system is in crisis, it creates an environment of uncertainty that can scare off investors, weaken consumer confidence, and even lead to capital flight. Economic growth could stall, and South Korea's position in the global market could be compromised.

On the international stage, the challenges are equally daunting. The United States, South Korea's most important ally, faces a potential shift in leadership with the looming return of Donald Trump to power on Jan. 20. Trump's approach to foreign policy has often been unpredictable, and his return could result in demands for increased defense cost-sharing or, even more dramatically, a reduction in the number of U.S. troops stationed in South Korea. Such a shift in U.S. policy would have profound implications for regional security, leaving South Korea more vulnerable to external threats.

In addition to the uncertainties surrounding the U.S. alliance, North Korea remains a persistent threat. Pyongyang's nuclear ambitions show no signs of slowing, and its growing military cooperation with Russia — particularly in the context of the ongoing war in Ukraine — has added a new layer of complexity to the security situation in Northeast Asia.

The evolving military ties between North Korea and Russia could destabilize the region further and pose an even greater security threat to South Korea.

First and foremost, the country's leadership must recognize that the path forward requires national unity. The Year of the Blue Snake symbolizes renewal and transformation, and South Korea has the opportunity to shed old patterns of political conflict that have hindered progress.

This moment also presents an opportunity to reassess South Korea's political system. The centralization of power in the presidency has proven to be a double-edged sword. While it allows for swift decision-making in times of crisis, it also makes the system vulnerable to authoritarian impulses.

In light of recent events, it may be time to explore alternatives, such as a more robust prime ministerial system or parliamentary governance, which would provide greater checks and balances. Another option could be adopting a U.S.-style system, limiting a president's term of office to four years and allowing them to serve up to two terms, ensuring a balance of power and preventing excessive concentration of authority.

Despite countless challenges over its 5,000-year history, the Korean people have consistently demonstrated the ability to rise above adversity. From the Donghak Peasant Revolution to the March 1 Independence Movement, and from the April 19 Revolution to the May 18 Democratic Uprising, Korean people have shown time and again that they will not surrender to oppression or injustice. The swift restoration of democratic order in recent months shows that the spirit of democracy remains strong in South Korea.

As we move through the Year of the Blue Snake, it is clear that South Korea's path forward will require wisdom, prudence, and unity. The country must shed the political divisions of the past and focus on renewal — just as the snake sheds its skin and grows.

Through strong leadership, structural reforms and a renewed commitment to democratic values, South Korea can overcome its current crises. The resilience of the Korean people, combined with strategic diplomacy and economic innovation, will ensure that the nation continues to thrive, both regionally and globally.

South Korea's democratic principles, economic vitality and commitment to peace are its greatest assets. In this challenging time, it is these values that will guide the country through its crises and into a new era of prosperity.

Shim Jae-yun jayshim@koreatimes.co.kr


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